AGFEP 樊胜根、孟婷谈如何防范和应对全球农食系统面临的风险组合风暴
全球农业食物系统面临着重大风险和威胁，从而带来巨大经济损失，引起农业和食物供应链错位，并进一步加重生产者、消费者和其他参与者的饥饿和营养不良，造成多方面的福利损失。气候变化、极端天气事件、自然资源（包括水、耕地、林地和牧场）的退化和枯竭、生物多样性的丧失、新发疾病、贸易受阻和中断、宏观经济冲击和冲突，每一项风险都可能严重扰乱农食系统，然而这些风险的组合风暴更是加剧了对全球粮食食物安全和营养的影响。在此过程中，小农户、农村移民、妇女、青年、儿童、低收入人口和其他弱势群体尤为脆弱。新冠疫情的全球大流行就是多重风险组合风暴的案例。
中国农业大学全球食物经济与政策研究院（AGFEP）院长樊胜根讲席教授和青年教师孟婷近期在《Annual Review of Environment and Resources》上网络预出版论文“How to Prevent and Cope with Coincidence of Risks to the Global Food System”。
论文系统回顾了对农业食物系统影响最大的主要风险，并强调了对风险组合风暴应对和防范的重要性，进一步提出了降低农食系统风险的途径，包括推动农食系统转型、持续关注弱势群体的食物安全保障、避免能源价格波动带来的风险联动、以及建立和完善全球治理机制等，以确保农食系统向健康、高效、可持续、包容性和有韧性的方向发展。
论文的另外两位合作者是国际农业政策研究中心研究员Emily EunYoung Cho和Christopher Rue，该论文也是国家自然科学基金国际项目（NSFC-CGIAR Grant #72061147002）的阶段性研究成果。
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Abstract
The global food system faces major risks and threats that can cause massive economic loss; dislocation of food supply chains; and welfare loss of producers, consumers, and other food system actors. The interrelated nature of the system has highlighted the complexity of risks. Climate change, extreme weather events, and degradation and depletion of natural resources, including water, arable, forestry, and pastural lands, loss of biodiversity, emerging diseases, trade chokepoints and disruptions, macroeconomic shocks, and conflicts, can each seriously disrupt the system. Coincidence of these risks can compound the effects on global food security and nutrition. Smallholder farmers, rural migrants, women, youth, children, low-income populations, and other disadvantaged groups are particularly vulnerable. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic exemplifies a perfect storm of coincidental risks. This article reviews major risks that most significantly impact food systems and highlights the importance of prospects for coincidence of risks. We present pathways to de-risk food systems and a way forward to ensure healthy, sustainable, inclusive, and resilient food systems.
3.AGFEP樊胜根、冯晓龙分别发表减贫经验、产业扶贫、易地搬迁系列文章
4.AGFEP 樊胜根在《Nature Food》上撰文谈经济学和新兴经济体在食物系统转型中的贡献及角色提升
5.AGFEP成员孟婷博士在世界粮食论坛—青年研讨会受邀发言
供稿：孟婷
编辑排版：倪丽杰
审核：樊胜根